布伦特原油 (Brent) 加自选

富时100指数周五小幅收跌，收于8085点，连续第二个交易日下跌，本周下跌2.6%。对美联储降息放缓的担忧、英国经济停滞的迹象以及美国政府关门的迫在眉睫的威胁都给投资者带来了压力。美国当选总统唐纳德·特朗普关于对欧盟征收潜在关税的警告进一步削弱了市场情绪。在英国，最新数据显示零售销售增长低于预期，而借贷数据好于预期。在企业方面，Severn Trent和United Utilities Group继续领跌，分别下跌2.3%和1.7%。相比之下，Frasers Group领涨，上涨2.8%，因为股东在与Boohoo Group的争执结束时似乎松了一口气。

The FTSE 100 pared early losses to close slightly down at 8,085 on Friday, notching a second consecutive session of declines and a 2.6% drop for the week. Concerns over slower rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, signs of economic stagnation in the UK, and the looming threat of a US government shutdown all weighed on investors' minds. Market sentiment was further undermined by a warning from US President-elect Donald Trump regarding potential tariffs on the European Union. In the UK, the latest data revealed a smaller-than-expected increase in retail sales, while borrowing figures came in better than anticipated. On the corporate side, Severn Trent and United Utilities Group continued to head up the fallers of the day, down 2.3% and 1.7%, respectively. Contrastingly, Frasers Group led risers, up 2.8% as shareholders appeared to breathe a sigh of relief at the end of a spat with Boohoo Group.

俄罗斯卢布兑美元汇率为104，自12月6日反弹至98的一个月高点以来一直保持抛售，但没有对俄罗斯央行出人意料的加息做出任何反应。尽管对消费者和企业不可持续的高通胀预期的担忧日益减弱，俄罗斯央行仍将其关键利率保持在创纪录的21%，令人惊讶的是，市场在200个基点和300个基点的加息之间出现了松散的分歧。自6月以来，由于对莫斯科交易所的制裁促使俄罗斯央行设定外汇价格，这种沉默的反应突显了卢布对外国市场的孤立。今年，由于对俄罗斯金融业的制裁和对主要贸易伙伴中国大宗商品需求的下降，卢布对主要货币对的汇率暴跌，导致外国对卢布的需求暴跌。莫斯科愿意让卢布贬值，因为货币贬值增加了能源出口国的出口收入，而能源出口国是俄罗斯预算的主要收入来源。

The Russian ruble was at 104 per USD, holding its selloff since rebounding to the one-month high of 98 touched on December 6th, but refraining from showing any reaction to the Bank of Russia’s unexpected rate hold. The Bank of Russia held its key rate at a record-high 21% despite flagging concerns of unsustainably high inflation expectations for consumers and businesses, surprising markets that were loosely split between hikes of 200bps and 300bps. The muted reaction underscored the isolation of the ruble to foreign markets as sanctions on the Moscow Exchange drove the CBR to set forex prices since June. The currency has plunged against major pairs this year as sanctions on the Russian financial sector and lower commodity demand for key trading partner China drove foreign demand for rubles to plummet. This was magnified by Moscow’s willingness to let the ruble depreciate as a weaker currency raises export revenues for energy exporters, a key revenue source for Russia’s budget.

英国股市指数（GB100）跌至8000点以下。

United Kingdom Stock Market Index (GB100) decreased below 8000 points.

英镑/日元价格预测：英国零售额低于预期，价格暴跌。周五北美时段，英镑/日元对下跌近0.4%，至196.00点。英国11月零售销售数据公布后，该资产面临抛售压力，由于服装店需求疲软，该数据低于预期。

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: Slumps as UK Retail Sales misses estimates.The GBP/JPY pair is down almost 0.4% to 196.00 in Friday's North American session. The asset faces selling pressure after the release of the United Kingdom (UK) Retail Sales data for November, which came in slower than projected due to weak demand at clothing stores.