周四,新西兰元稳定在0.597美元左右,本周迄今一直横盘整理。新西兰元在数据显示美国经济增长放缓,而ADP就业数据增长超过预期后,美元略有走弱,这为新西兰元提供了潜在支撑。投资者现在正在等待本周末美国就业报告的发布,这可能会进一步明确美联储的利率前景。然而,在国内,新西兰元面临下行压力,因为通货膨胀已恢复到目标范围,预计新西兰储备银行将大幅降息。市场完全预计11月将降息0.5个基点,一些人预计将降息75个基点。在经济方面,新西兰10月份的商业信心进一步上升,随着降息引发乐观情绪,前瞻性活动指标再次走高。
The New Zealand dollar held steady at around $0.597 on Thursday, moving sideways so far this week. The Kiwi is seeing underlying support from a slight weakening of the US dollar after data showed US economic growth slowed, while ADP employment figures rose more than expected. Investors are now awaiting the release of US payrolls report at the end of the week, which could provide further clarity on the Fed’s rate outlook. Domestically, however, the New Zealand dollar faces downward pressure as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to pursue aggressive interest rate cuts now that inflation has returned to its target range. Markets are fully pricing in a half-point rate reduction in November, with some anticipating a 75-basis-point cut. On the economic front, New Zealand's business confidence rose further in October, with forward-looking activity indicators higher again as rate cuts fueled optimism.