新西兰澳新银行商业信心创10年新高，对低利率的乐观情绪增强。10月，新西兰澳新银行商业信心指数从60.9飙升至65.7，达到十年来的最高水平，反映出企业的乐观情绪。

NZ ANZ business confidence hits 10-yr high , optimism grows on lower interest rates.New Zealand's ANZ Business Confidence surged from 60.9 to 65.7 in October, marking its highest level in a decade and reflecting a wave of optimism among businesses.

第一印象：新西兰商业信心。10月份，利率下降进一步提振了商业信心。企业还报告称，其当前业绩略有改善，通胀指标喜忧参半。

First Impressions: NZ Business Confidence.Falling interest rates helped to lift business confidence further in October. Firms also reported a modest improvement in their current performance, and inflation indicators were mixed.

周四，新西兰元稳定在0.597美元左右，本周迄今一直横盘整理。新西兰元在数据显示美国经济增长放缓，而ADP就业数据增长超过预期后，美元略有走弱，这为新西兰元提供了潜在支撑。投资者现在正在等待本周末美国就业报告的发布，这可能会进一步明确美联储的利率前景。然而，在国内，新西兰元面临下行压力，因为通货膨胀已恢复到目标范围，预计新西兰储备银行将大幅降息。市场完全预计11月将降息0.5个基点，一些人预计将降息75个基点。在经济方面，新西兰10月份的商业信心进一步上升，随着降息引发乐观情绪，前瞻性活动指标再次走高。

The New Zealand dollar held steady at around $0.597 on Thursday, moving sideways so far this week. The Kiwi is seeing underlying support from a slight weakening of the US dollar after data showed US economic growth slowed, while ADP employment figures rose more than expected. Investors are now awaiting the release of US payrolls report at the end of the week, which could provide further clarity on the Fed’s rate outlook. Domestically, however, the New Zealand dollar faces downward pressure as the Reserve Bank of New Zealand is expected to pursue aggressive interest rate cuts now that inflation has returned to its target range. Markets are fully pricing in a half-point rate reduction in November, with some anticipating a 75-basis-point cut. On the economic front, New Zealand's business confidence rose further in October, with forward-looking activity indicators higher again as rate cuts fueled optimism.

新西兰澳新银行商业展望指数从9月份的60.9攀升至2024年10月的65.7，为2014年3月以来的最高水平。

The ANZ Business Outlook Index in New Zealand climbed to 65.7 in October 2024 from 60.9 in September, marking its highest reading since March 2014.