HCOB Flash德国制造业采购经理人指数从9月份的40.6升至2024年10月的42.6,这是大约一年来的最低水平,超过了40.8的预测。尽管有所增长,但采购经理人指数继续表明制造业正在深度收缩。有报道称,由于经济不确定性加剧以及汽车行业需求疲软,客户不愿消费。新业务流入大幅下降,工厂大门费用创下15年来最大跌幅。此外,制造商还面临着与竞争压力相关的采购价格的另一次显著下降。市场情绪依然消极,与9月份的11个月低点相比几乎没有变化。汉堡商业银行首席经济学家Cyrus de la Rubia博士表示:“制造业很可能在第四季度继续陷入衰退,但明年可能会以更好的基础开始,尽管这一基于一个月改善的评估应该谨慎对待。”。
The HCOB Flash Germany Manufacturing PMI rose to 42.6 in October 2024 from 40.6 in September which was the lowest in about a year, beating forecasts of 40.8. Despite the increase, the PMI continues to point to a deep contraction in the manufacturing sector. There were reports of customers refraining from spending due to heightened economic uncertainty alongside weak demand from the auto sector. Inflows of new business fell sharply and factory gate charges posted the steepest drop for more than 15 years. In addition, manufacturers faced another notable drop in purchase prices, linked to competitive pressures. Sentiment remained negative and was little changed from September’s 11-month low. “Manufacturing will most probably continue to be in a recession in the fourth quarter, but it may start the next year on a better footing, although this assessment based on a one-month improvement should be taken with caution", Dr. Cyrus de la Rubia, Chief Economist at Hamburg Commercial Bank, said.